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The Straits Times, 8 Nov 04

No win-win situation, so let's drop the idea

I REFER to the article by Ms Tan Sai Siong, 'Betting on the good sense of S'poreans' (ST, Nov 2). Ms Tan contradicts herself when she says she shares the view that a casino 'is intrinsically as bad today as it was in 1964' and subsequently, she asks readers to 'support a casino wholeheartedly'. How does one convince oneself to support wholeheartedly something that is bad?

We are also advised to 'get our act together fast, stop all this debating and wrangling' before a full-fledged Las Vegas-quality casino springs up in Johor Baru. This is putting the cart before the horse. An issue with wide-ranging repercussions must be debated before one arrives at a decision. Anyway, a Las Vegas-style casino can always be set up in JB even after one is set up in Singapore! Ms Tan's anxiety to push this issue through is misplaced. If another casino operator builds, say, a vast theme park with a casino in Batam, with free hotel stay and food thrown in, the Singapore Government will be forced into a game of one-upmanship. It will have to do so to protect the casino operator's investment.

Where will it end? The likelihood is we will meet the same fate as the airline industry, in which excessive competition is likely to lead to a collective loss of billions of dollars this year. Aren't we also forgetting we are competing on different grounds? For similar costs, Singaporeans can holiday in a five-star hotel in Malaysia rather than stay in a chalet in Downtown East. Competing on costs and services alone anywhere north or south of Singapore, we will lose hands down.

Nor is there anything 'pro-nation' about setting up a casino as this is just a huge gamble on an experiment with definite trade-offs which are presently not quantifiable. Why should we live in hope that everything will turn out well? We should not be eternal optimists, like the writer, thriving on hope there will be negligible negative effects from setting up a casino in Singapore.

Ms Tan agrees a small percentage will succumb badly, with families ruined by gambling addiction. But a small percentage may mean thousands of families. This is no small matter as the repercussions will be felt far and wide. Are we to buy her argument, look at the bright side, and say it's actually not so bad as it creates jobs for counsellors and psychologists?

Insisting there are positive spin-offs in any 'evils', such as job creation in related and unrelated activities, is to ignore the bigger picture. Take smoking addiction as an example. Smoking has created a need for more doctors to treat lung cancer patients, related medical services and cigarette salesmen. The Government has belatedly recognised the dangers of smoking and more than doubled the price of a packet of cigarettes in the past few years to discourage it. Have such measures really helped to reduce the number of smokers or lung cancer patients? The answer is no.

Gambling addiction which arises subsequently will be equally difficult to treat. It may be impossible to prevent Singaporeans from entering a casino. But there is no good reason why the Government should make entry easier. Ms Tan's conclusion is to be like the lotus - growing and thriving in the mud without getting dirty. Allowing a casino will be like inviting mud to be thrown all over us. How then not to get dirty? A casino masks addiction perfectly by grouping like-minded people together. It becomes the mother of all denials. An addicted gambler only sees through his addiction when the problems he has created overwhelm his ability to solve them. When an addict becomes a statistic in problem gambling, his actions would have already caused untold misery not only to himself but also his loved ones. Current statistics on problem gambling are but the tip of the iceberg. A vice does not change with the passage of time.

Other countries have succumbed to the easy way to increase their government coffers. Cases of problems with loan sharks or housewives turning to prostitution as a result of gambling are frequently highlighted in overseas press. They are now accepted as part and parcel of society.

Wise leaders like Minister Mentor Lee Kuan Yew clearly understood Pandora's Box must not be opened at any cost. Singaporeans are proud of the legacy he left us - a government which stood its ground when many others succumbed. A casino does not result in a win-win situation for everyone and the idea should therefore be put to rest.

Phillip Ang Keng Hong

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